Sunday, August 3, 2014

Believe It, or Not

By David Simmons

When Thailand’s popularly elected government was overthrown this year, an English expatriate friend who lives in the country’s Southern region – the only heartland of the royalist anti-democracy movement outside Bangkok itself – rejoiced that with “Thaksin out of the way”, badly needed road repairs were finally taking place in his town.

It’s easy to laugh at the suggestion that the exiled billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra, himself turfed out as prime minister by the military in 2006, has the time and energy – while continuing to “bleed the country dry”, usurp control of the offshore petroleum fields in the Gulf of Thailand, and “run the country” via Skype from his apartment in Dubai – to interfere personally in the pothole-repair program of a small beach town in Prachuap Khiri Khan province. But one of the most bizarre aspects of the polarization that tore Thailand apart in the first half of 2014 and, arguably, nearly resulted in civil war was the extent to which expats bought into the Thaksin personality cult – pro and con.

The fact that a large minority of Thais, predominantly in Bangkok and the South, swallowed wholesale the largely fantastical demonization of Thaksin during the six months or so of political chaos that ended with the return of the country to military dictatorship was not surprising. Most Thais, even wealthier people with the benefit of a foreign education, are deeply superstitious, and are brainwashed from birth to believe their monarch is a demigod. So believing that a telecom tycoon – especially if he hails from the primitive Northern region of which the mysterious city of Chiang Mai is the capital, and is excluded from the favours of the royal court – can be possessed of devilish powers is no great leap of faith. His worshippers, by extension, in the North and Northeast are part of a lost tribe that not only must be excluded from a role in choosing their own national leaders, but (as suggested by the since-resigned Miss Universe Thailand, among others) should be “executed” as enemies of His Majesty the Demigod.

A few years ago I wrote a blog piece (Dream State) about how everything in Thailand centres on dreams, and not the boring practicality of most Western states (of which, of course, the boringest of all is probably my own homeland). This dream state is largely what makes Thais, and their country, so charming, but also so challenging, even frustrating, to live with.

This became a glaring reality during this year’s anti-democracy campaign spearheaded by Suthep Thaugsuban, the alleged mastermind of the 2010 massacre of pro-democracy demonstrators in Bangkok during the previous unelected government of Abhisit Vejjajiva. His campaign this year was alarming to most of us on the pro-democracy side not because (as was often alleged) we had any fondness for Thaksin, a renowned thug and crook in his own right, but because of its fascistic elements. Day after day invective, lies, slander and incitement to hatred and violence were hurled from the huge stages Suthep set up in the middle of Bangkok’s main intersections, funded by big business and applauded by the media, the police prohibited by the corrupt courts from shutting him down and getting the capital operating again. But arguing this to our friends on the opposite side of the debate was pointless; the whole scenario was based on belief systems, not logic or even hard economic data.

Well, what about us democrats? Weren’t we “true believers” as well, choosing to overlook strong evidence that democracy had failed not only in Thailand but elsewhere in Asia? Or the world, for that matter?

One does not have to look very far afield, after all, to find compelling evidence of the failure of democratic experiments. India, the world’s most populous democracy and the oldest in Asia, is still largely backward and wallowing in poverty. If the main purpose of a governmental system is to improve the people’s economic status, there is a good argument that the communist dictatorships of China and Vietnam, at least over the past couple of decades, have done a far better job. The Philippines was in some ways more prosperous under the Marcos dictatorship than it has been, until very recently, under democratic regimes. Discounting the absolute monarchy of Brunei as an anomaly, the richest countries in Southeast Asia – Singapore and Malaysia – are only quasi-democracies. Indonesia is a lone success story among the relatively young democracies in the region, and there are questions about its stability too.

All of this is not lost on educated Asians, who say, “Southeast Asia is where democracy goes to die.” The reason, many argue, is that the democratic systems Asians have experimented with have been based on those of alien cultures, primarily the United States and Europe, and what is happening over there? Those countries’ political systems have been hijacked by the financial industry that with impunity nearly destroyed the global economy in 2008; youth unemployment in much of southern Europe is as high as 50%; millions of Americans languish below the poverty line, with their offspring’s massive student-loan debts ensuring a lifetime in the economic doldrums; elected legislatures are dominated by millionaires totally out of touch with ordinary people; and more meaningful democratic entities such as trade unions have been decimated.

So why do we still believe in democracy? More to the point, why do we believe in anything? Is there such a thing as empirical fact?

Ninety per cent or more of climate scientists say the planet is warming to dangerous levels because of humans’ misuse of the environment, but television stations can always find a few to say it ain’t so. As I write this, the Israel Defence Forces are slaughtering Palestinians by the hundreds, yet millions of people who nominally detest violence and support human rights say it’s just fine because Israel “has a right to exist” according to millennia-old myths. Do you support the anti-Russian regime in Kiev or its opponents in eastern Ukraine? Depends on your belief system. What about the Rohingya – are they victims of unjustifiable persecution by Myanmar’s Buddhist majority or just a bunch of ragtag “Bengalis” who should go back where they came from? Depends on your belief system.

I like to submit that my own belief system is based more on evidence and logic than on myth, personality cults and wishful thinking. I oppose the kind of military dictatorship Thailand now has because I know of the excesses of similar types of regime in this very neighbourhood, notably the Khmer Rouge, which was at least mercifully short-lived though the damage it did was not, and the longer-lasting State Peace and Development Council in Myanmar – whose very name has been reflected by Thailand’s National Council for Peace and Order. Thais, for now, are only grateful that their capital has been cleared of Suthep’s thugs and the pro-Thaksin “red shirt” hotheads have been subdued for the time being, and they can return to their beloved shopping malls in peace. The emerging megalomania of the dictator concerns no one, for now.

Saint Paul wrote to the Corinthians, “And now these three remain: faith, hope and love. But the greatest of these is love.” He didn’t even mention evidence and logic. Funny, that.